Internal Use OnlyPlex 153 Fund LLC — Proprietary Working Document — Not for Distribution
How to use this document: All charts are live and auto-updating — powered by TradingView. No screenshots needed. Each asset shows three timeframes: 3M · 1M · 1W. Fill in the fundamental news, click the signal badge, and update your support, reversal levels, and notes each week. Click any chart to open it full-screen on TradingView where you can draw levels, zoom in, and annotate. Save to PDF each week to archive the snapshot.
🌐 Macro Context · Sep 28, 2026
Total Crypto Mkt Cap
~$2.74T
▼ post-CLARITY pullback
RWA On-Chain
$36.8B
▲ +400% since 2025
BlackRock BUIDL
$2.9B AUM
▲ Largest tokenized RWA fund
XRP Spot ETFs
$1.4B AUM
▲ $1.49B cumulative inflows
Fed Rate
5.25%
— Fear & Greed: 29 (Fear)
CLARITY Act
Sep 15
Cloture filed · Procedural vote Sep 15
⚑ Key Dates & Milestones
🎯 DCA Target TrackerGroup decision required before execution · Juan Carlos · Eugene · Nayeli
Asset
Current Price
DCA Target Zone
Allocation %
Status
Notes
TOTAL
~$2.74T
$1.69T – $2.05T
TBD
Monitoring
Await group consensus
XRP
$1.08
$0.60 – $1.10
TBD
Monitoring
3M FVG $0.60–$1.00 · await reversal $1.20
XLM
$0.18
$0.09 – $0.21
TBD
Monitoring
Consolidation range · reversal above $0.64
ALGO
$0.086
$0.08 – $0.14
TBD
Monitoring
All Time Lows · discount zone · reversal above $0.14
HBAR
$0.070 USD
$0.045 – $0.09
TBD
Monitoring
Weekly lows $0.07 in FVG · reversal above $0.11
Add row:
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TOTAL
Total Crypto Market Cap
Market Cap
~$2.28T
Sep 28, 2026 · — estable vs semana pasada
Signal
Thesis Validation
Infrastructure█████5/5
Regulation████░4/5
Price Entry████░4/5
Strong Conviction
F Fundamental — Noticias y desarrollos clave
Sep 15, 2026 ❌
CLARITY Act Fails 49-50 — Crypto's Biggest Senate Push Falls Flat; SEC Formal Rulemaking Now the Primary Regulatory Path
The CLARITY Act failed to clear the Senate cloture vote on September 15, falling short 49-50 — far below the 60 votes needed to advance. Three unresolved disputes killed it: ethics rules targeting Trump's reported $1.4B in crypto income, developer liability provisions affecting DeFi under Section 604, and a stablecoin yield question threatening $1.35B in Coinbase USDC annual rewards revenue. The bill's failure does not eliminate regulatory clarity — it accelerates the SEC and CFTC formal rulemaking path. Both agencies are already at work on crypto rules. The March 17 SEC/CFTC joint guidance naming XRP, XLM, ALGO, and HBAR as digital commodities remains in full effect. The industry focus now shifts to SEC Regulation Crypto (Q4 2026) and OCC GENIUS Act final rules (November 2026).
Plex 153 Relevance
The CLARITY Act failure is a setback, not a defeat. The regulatory foundation remains: SEC/CFTC joint guidance classifies all four portfolio assets as digital commodities, and formal rulemaking is now accelerating independently. The market confirmed this — XRP is up 10.1% since the failed vote. Institutions are not waiting for Congress. DTCC full commercial launch is in 3 days.
Sep 18 + Sep 1, 2026 🔴
SEC + CFTC FILE SIMULTANEOUS FORMAL RULEMAKINGS — "Regulation Crypto Assets" + "Regulation Crypto Asset Transactions" — U.S. Sets Global Standard for Tokenized Asset Regulation
Three major SEC/CFTC regulatory actions confirmed this month, creating the most comprehensive federal crypto framework in history: (1) SEC "Regulation Crypto Assets" (proposed Aug 18) — the SEC's first bespoke crypto offering framework, including a startup exemption up to $5M, a fundraising exemption up to $75M, and a safe harbor letting tokens shed security status. Public hearings run through October 20. (2) CFTC "Regulation Crypto Asset Transactions and Regulation Crypto Asset Markets" (filed Sep 18) — the CFTC's clearest step yet toward a standing federal framework for crypto trading and custody. Crypto prices surged sharply as the CFTC filing circulated: BTC +4.98%, XRP +5.12%. (3) SEC proposed allowing transfer agents to use distributed ledger technology (DLT/blockchain) for tracking securities ownership (Sep 1) — the first time blockchain is formally incorporated into SEC securities transfer infrastructure. SEC and CFTC signed an MOU reducing duplicative oversight under "Project Crypto." Public comment period closes before October 20.
Plex 153 Relevance
This is the regulatory architecture that replaces the CLARITY Act. The SEC and CFTC are filing simultaneous formal rulemakings — not guidance, not interpretation, but binding federal rules via notice-and-comment. For XRP, XLM, ALGO, and HBAR — already named digital commodities in the March 17 joint guidance — formal rulemaking converts that classification into permanent published federal rules that are significantly harder to reverse than interpretive guidance. The fund is positioned in all four assets while these rules are being written.
T Technical — Tres perspectivas
3M · QuarterlyDiscount Zone
3M · QuarterlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1M · MonthlyWatching Close
1M · MonthlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1W · WeeklyWatching Close
1W · WeeklyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
XRP
XRP Ledger — Ripple
Precio (USD)
$1.50 USD
Sep 28, 2026 · ▲ +35.5% vs last week
Signal
Thesis Validation
Infrastructure█████5/5
Regulation█████5/5
Price Entry████░4/5
Highest Conviction
F Fundamental — Noticias y desarrollos clave
Sep 26, 2026
RLUSD Integrates with BlackRock BUIDL & VanEck VBILL — Whales Accumulate 470M XRP ($720M) in 5 Days; XRP Consolidates at $1.52
Ripple and Securitize launched a smart contract enabling holders of BlackRock's BUIDL and VanEck's VBILL tokenized treasury funds to exchange shares directly for RLUSD 24/7 — the first integration of RLUSD into Securitize's platform. Securitize is also integrating with the XRP Ledger to expand XRPL ecosystem access. Both BUIDL and VBILL are TradFi giants' first tokenized products on public blockchains. Ripple's RLUSD stablecoin now serves as a seamless digital collateral and settlement asset for BlackRock institutional clients. Within 5 days, XRP whales accumulated 470 million tokens worth $720M — the largest whale accumulation event of the quarter. XRP consolidates at $1.52 today, up 10.1% from the post-CLARITY Act low.
Plex 153 Relevance
BlackRock using RLUSD to settle tokenized treasury fund shares is the clearest institutional validation of the XRP ecosystem this quarter. BUIDL is BlackRock's flagship tokenized fund — connecting it directly to RLUSD means the world's largest asset manager ($10T+ AUM) is now transacting through Ripple's stablecoin infrastructure. Whale accumulation of 470M XRP ($720M) simultaneously is institutional money voting with capital. The fund holds XRP at $1.52 with the next catalyst being Ripple Swell/Apex NYC on October 27-29.
Sep 28, 2026
XRP Leads Altcoins — Federal Reserve BFT Paper Validates XRPL Architecture; XRP Batch Upgrade Slips to Oct 9; Hester Peirce Departing SEC
XRP leads altcoins on September 28 consolidating at $1.52. The Federal Reserve's BFT consensus paper validates Ripple's Federated Byzantine Agreement architecture as institutional settlement infrastructure. The XRPL Batch upgrade slips to October 9 after validator support reset — a minor technical delay. SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce ("Crypto Mom"), the industry's steadiest crypto advocate, is departing next week — creating a potential shift in SEC dynamics ahead of Q4 formal rulemaking. Standard Chartered maintained its $28 XRP target for 2030 despite cutting its 2026 target 65%, implying a market cap above $2.1 trillion at diluted supply. XRP ETF cumulative inflows now at $1.5B across 5 spot products.
Plex 153 Relevance
XRP at $1.52 with $1.5B in ETF inflows, BlackRock BUIDL integration, and Fed BFT validation — while the CLARITY Act failure has accelerated SEC formal rulemaking — is the most confirmed institutional infrastructure story in the fund portfolio. Ripple Swell/Apex on October 27-29 will coincide with DTCC's first month of full commercial operation. The October window is the next major catalyst.
T Technical — Tres perspectivas
3M · QuarterlyDiscount Zone
3M · QuarterlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1M · MonthlyDiscount Zone
1M · MonthlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1W · WeeklyDiscount Zone
1W · WeeklyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
XLM
Stellar Lumens — Stellar Development Foundation
Precio (USD)
$0.22 USD
Sep 28, 2026 · ▲ +8.3% vs last week
Signal
Thesis Validation
Infrastructure████░4/5
Regulation████░4/5
Price Entry████░4/5
Strong Conviction
F Fundamental — Noticias y desarrollos clave
Sep 11-28, 2026
XLM at $0.26 — U.S. Bank USBDC Live Pilot on Stellar Confirmed; Coinbase/Moov Brings Stablecoins to 1,000+ Banks on Stellar Rails; XLM Futures on CME Proposed
Three landmark institutional developments confirmed on Stellar this month: (1) U.S. Bank completed a live cross-border pilot of its USBDC stablecoin on the Stellar network (Sep 11) — the first major U.S. commercial bank to move its own dollar stablecoin across borders on Stellar rails. (2) Coinbase partnered with Moov (Sep 12) to enable 1,000+ U.S. community banks and credit unions to offer stablecoin payments through Coinbase's API — running on Stellar infrastructure. (3) XLM futures on CME are proposed — institutional derivatives access that would bring Stellar into traditional finance portfolios alongside Bitcoin and Ethereum futures. Federal Reserve BFT paper validates Stellar Consensus Protocol as institutional settlement architecture.
Plex 153 Relevance
U.S. Bank + 1,000 community banks via Coinbase/Moov + CME futures proposal — all confirmed this month on Stellar while XLM trades at $0.26, still well below the $0.64 reversal level that would confirm an uptrend. The institutional infrastructure is being built while the price remains at discount zone levels. DTCC H1 2027 integration is the next confirmed major catalyst. The fund is accumulating ahead of that milestone.
Sep 28, 2026
Stellar RWA Reaches $3.25B — DTCC Full Commercial Launch Oct 1 is Next Milestone for XLM Integration Pipeline; Protocol 28 Vote Underway
Stellar ecosystem as of September 28: $3.25B in tokenized RWA, $5.5B stablecoin volume, MoneyGram as Tier 1 validator, Circle CCTP live for native USDC, Bitwise Top 10 Index ETF inclusion, and DTCC H1 2027 integration confirmed on track. DTCC's full commercial launch on October 1 — 3 days away — represents the first month of live production for the tokenized securities infrastructure that will connect to Stellar in H1 2027. Protocol 28 "Adapter" community vote is underway. Quantum-safe signatures upgrade planned for 2026. XLM is up 8.3% this week at $0.26 despite the CLARITY Act failure — demonstrating institutional adoption narrative is driving price independent of legislation.
Plex 153 Relevance
XLM outperforming the broader market post-CLARITY Act failure confirms that Stellar's institutional adoption story is decoupling from the legislative calendar. U.S. Bank, 1,000+ banks via Coinbase/Moov, $3.25B RWA — these are live operational deployments. DTCC launching October 1 is the first step in the pipeline that leads to Stellar's H1 2027 full integration. The fund holds XLM at $0.26 ahead of that milestone.
T Technical — Tres perspectivas
3M · QuarterlyDiscount Zone
3M · QuarterlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1M · MonthlyDiscount Zone
1M · MonthlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1W · WeeklyDiscount Zone
1W · WeeklyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
ALGO
Algorand — Algorand Foundation
Precio (USD)
$0.134 USD
Sep 28, 2026 · ▲ +18.2% vs last week
Signal
Thesis Validation
Infrastructure████░4/5
Regulation█████5/5
Price Entry█████5/5
Maximum Asymmetry
F Fundamental — Noticias y desarrollos clave
Sep 28, 2026
ALGO at $0.112 — SEC Formal Rulemaking Now Primary Path; CLARITY Act Failure Accelerates Q4 2026 Regulation Crypto Proposal
The CLARITY Act's failure (49-50 on Sep 15) has directly accelerated the SEC's Q4 2026 formal rulemaking timeline. SEC Chair Atkins confirmed the agency advances Regulation Crypto independent of Congress — covering tailored disclosures, exchange requirements, and safe harbors. For ALGO — named explicitly in footnote 51 of the March 17 SEC document as one of 18 non-security assets — formal SEC rulemaking codifies this status into published federal rules via notice-and-comment, significantly more durable than the current interpretive guidance. OCC is finalizing GENIUS Act stablecoin rules by November 2026 with applications opening January 2027. FIFA World Cup 2026 running on Algorand. ECB digital euro pilot on Algorand infrastructure. HesabPay at 1M+ users. Zero downtime since 2019.
Plex 153 Relevance
ALGO at $0.112 is recovering from All Time Lows while the regulatory path that protects it — SEC formal rulemaking — accelerates after the CLARITY Act failure. The fund views the CLARITY Act failure as a non-event for ALGO specifically: it holds the most explicit non-security designation in the portfolio (two places in SEC documents) and will have formal rule protection by Q1 2027 regardless. The discount zone accumulation thesis remains fully active.
Sep 2026
SEC Plans 24/7 On-Chain Stock Trading Infrastructure — Algorand's Zero Downtime & ISO 20022 Compliance Remain the Operational Benchmark
The SEC Regulation Crypto proposal (released Aug 18) explicitly plans regulatory infrastructure for 24/7 on-chain stock trading — a direct evolution from DTCC's July 15 live tokenized trades. Algorand's operational profile remains the benchmark: zero downtime since 2019 (5+ years), sub-4-second finality, ISO 20022-compatible messaging, NIST-approved quantum-resistance roadmap (Google cited 32 times), and ECB digital euro pilot confirmation. DTCC's full commercial launch on October 1 — 3 days away — will drive demand for exactly the kind of 24/7 operational infrastructure Algorand has demonstrated. As DTCC scales, the need for always-on regulated blockchain infrastructure grows.
Plex 153 Relevance
DTCC going full commercial in 3 days while the SEC builds 24/7 on-chain trading infrastructure is the demand signal for what Algorand provides. No other altcoin in the fund portfolio can match Algorand's operational track record for always-on regulated securities infrastructure. The fund holds ALGO at $0.112 — recovering toward the $0.14 reversal trigger — ahead of DTCC October full launch.
T Technical — Tres perspectivas
3M · QuarterlyDiscount Zone
3M · QuarterlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1M · MonthlyDiscount Zone
1M · MonthlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1W · WeeklyDiscount Zone
1W · WeeklyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
HBAR
Hedera — Hedera Governing Council
Precio (USD)
$0.12 USD
Sep 28, 2026 · ▲ +63.0% vs last week
Signal
Thesis Validation
Infrastructure████░4/5
Regulation████░4/5
Price Entry█████5/5
Maximum Asymmetry
F Fundamental — Noticias y desarrollos clave
Sep 25, 2026
IBM Lists Hedera IDTrust on IBM Cloud — Enterprise Identity Platform Now Available to IBM's Global Client Base; HBAR Approaches $0.11 Breakout
IBM has partnered with The Hashgraph Group to list the Hedera-based IDTrust self-sovereign identity platform on the IBM Cloud Catalog (September 25). This significantly lowers the barrier for enterprises wanting to build on Hedera — IBM's global client base now has one-click access to Hedera-based identity infrastructure. HBAR approaches $0.11 resistance as open interest jumps 5% (September 26). HBAR named in altcoin ETF demand reports — regulated ETF products creating fresh institutional demand. Canary HBAR ETF: $818,000 in net inflows on September 10 alone — largest single-day since August 25. HBAR up 22% this week to $0.10, approaching the $0.11 breakout level analysts identified as the trend change confirmation.
Plex 153 Relevance
IBM listing Hedera IDTrust on IBM Cloud is not a pilot — it is production-grade enterprise infrastructure available to IBM's entire global client base today. Combined with Hedera's 8-year fork-free track record, record daily transactions, and HBAR now approaching the $0.11 breakout level with 5% jump in open interest — the technical and fundamental signals are converging. The fund holds HBAR at $0.10 watching for a confirmed close above $0.11.
Sep 26-28, 2026
HBAR +22% to $0.10 — Breaking Above Descending Trendline; Docs MCP Server Launches for AI Agents; IBM Integration Drives Enterprise Momentum
HBAR is the portfolio's best performer this week at +22%, breaking above the descending trendline that has capped price since the August high. Key developments this week: (1) IBM Cloud listing of Hedera IDTrust — enterprise identity infrastructure now accessible to IBM's global enterprise client base. (2) Docs MCP Server launched for AI agents — enables AI coding assistants to fetch live, accurate Hedera documentation directly, accelerating developer adoption. (3) HBAR approaching $0.10972 hourly resistance — a confirmed close above this level targets $0.14, the monthly reversal trigger identified in the fund's technical analysis. Canary HBAR ETF consistent inflows confirm institutional accumulation. Governing Council: Google, IBM, Boeing, FedEx, Deutsche Telekom, McLaren.
Plex 153 Relevance
HBAR breaking above the descending trendline with +22% weekly gains — driven by IBM Cloud integration, not speculation — is the price-discovery-from-adoption pattern the fund's thesis was built around. At $0.10 approaching $0.11 resistance, the next confirmed close above $0.10972 would trigger a move toward $0.14. The fund holds HBAR as the highest-asymmetry position in the portfolio: $3.07B market cap, IBM enterprise integration, 22% weekly gain, and DTCC full launch in 3 days as the next catalyst.
T Technical — Tres perspectivas
3M · QuarterlyDiscount Zone
3M · QuarterlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1M · MonthlyDiscount Zone
1M · MonthlyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
1W · WeeklyDiscount Zone
1W · WeeklyLive · TradingView
Soporte
Reversal / Reclaimed
Summary
Weekly Conviction Notes
Highest Conviction This WeekThesis Developments to Watch